Updated 9.05 - all selections online.
GREENGAGE looked a very unlucky loser at Ayr last time and might be able to make amends in the second division of the 1m1f handicap at Redcar (3.30) on Sunday.
Seemingly very moderate and exposed based on her form for her previous yard in Ireland, she was probably unsuited by the heavy ground on her debut for Tristan Davidson at Carlisle, in May, but looked a different proposition in a first-time hood on better ground on her second start for the yard at Ayr.
Held up at the back of the field, she started to make headway inside the final 3f, but found her path blocked at a crucial stage approaching the furlong pole, and although she made up ground all the way to the line, she was left with too much to do.
The slight drop in trip here might not be ideal, but the long straight should help and she’s only a pound higher. This looks the stronger of the two divisions, but it will be no surprise if there is further improvement to come for her current yard.
Hugh's Best Bets (scale 1-5 points):
1pt win GREENGAGE (3-1 bet365, Coral, Ladbrokes, 11-4 general)
Hugh gives a daily indication of when the column will be published via Twitter.com (username is HughRacing). You can also listen to a Final Furlong Podcast special in which Hugh explains the methodology behind the column here.
Hugh recorded a profit of +345pts in 2018, and a ROI of 1.55, his highest ever. With regards to Betfair SP, Hugh recorded a profit of +66pts (ROI of 1.11) before commission. You can view his monthly figures by clicking the links below:
2018 results ROI 1.55 +345pts
2017 results ROI 1.46 +282pts
2016 results ROI 1.44 +281pts
2015 results ROI 1.34 +207pts
2014 results ROI 1.32 +199.79pts
2013 results ROI 1.32 +210pts
2012 results ROI 1.31 +222.65pts
2011 results ROI 1.28 +302.64 pts
2010 results ROI 1.23 +324.79 pts
2009 results ROI 1.26 +500.36 pts