Updated 9.21 - All selections are now online
TATHMEEN looks a big price in the 6f handicap at Wolverhampton (6.20) considering he won at the same track, off the same mark, in the same grade and even from the same draw last time he ran here.
The main difference between that win in February and today’s race is that today’s trip is 6f as opposed to 5f, but he only got on top in the closing stages of that 5f event to win going away.
He has run creditably since, including in a class 4 5f handicap at Newcastle, and like many of the progeny of Exceed And Excel, he does seem at his bets on an artificial surface.
This is an open race, but with three non-runners inside him his draw doesn’t look so tricky now and he probably has a better chance than his odds this morning suggest.
Hugh's Best Bets (scale 1-5 points):
1pt win TATHMEEN ( 20-1 general, 18-1 William Hill )
Hugh gives a daily indication of when the column will be published via Twitter.com (username is HughRacing). You can also listen to a Final Furlong Podcast special in which Hugh explains the methodology behind the column here.
Hugh recorded a profit of +345pts in 2018, and a ROI of 1.55, his highest ever. With regards to Betfair SP, Hugh recorded a profit of +66pts (ROI of 1.11) before commission. You can view his monthly figures by clicking the links below:
2018 results ROI 1.55 +345pts
2017 results ROI 1.46 +282pts
2016 results ROI 1.44 +281pts
2015 results ROI 1.34 +207pts
2014 results ROI 1.32 +199.79pts
2013 results ROI 1.32 +210pts
2012 results ROI 1.31 +222.65pts
2011 results ROI 1.28 +302.64 pts
2010 results ROI 1.23 +324.79 pts
2009 results ROI 1.26 +500.36 pts